SYSTEMATIC CRYPTO RESEARCH

Outperform BTCBTC Buy & Hold with an automated crypto trading portfolio

Three strategy presets simultaneously trading 60+ crypto assets — over 3,400 backtested trades across 7 years. Every strategy has outperformed Bitcoin buy & hold cumulatively since 2019, turning $100K into $48M–$1.9B vs BTC's $1.7M.

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Watch: Why we beat BTC buy & hold — 7 years of proof

Cumulative Equity  (log scale, $100K start — Jan 2019 – Mar 2026)
Veridian Growth Strategy
Veridian Balanced Strategy
Veridian Conservative Strategy
BTCBTC Buy & Hold
Bear Market
Bull Market
Performance Comparison  (Jan 2019 – Mar 2026)
Veridian Strategies
GrowthMax returns, higher risk BalancedReturns + protection ConservativeRisk-adjusted optimal BTCBTC Buy & Hold Why it matters
Total Return +1,856,630% +122,523% +47,726% +1,749% Even Conservative beats BTC 27x over
CAGR 295.1% 170.2% 136.9% 50% 2.7–5.9x faster compounding vs BTC
Max Drawdown -59.2% -34.5% -28.0% -76.7% Conservative: 2.7x shallower than BTC
Sharpe Ratio 1.65 1.51 1.41 0.96 All three beat BTC risk-adjusted
Sortino Ratio 3.49 4.10 5.50 1.00 5.5x better downside protection
Profit Factor 1.21 1.36 1.57 — $1.57 earned per $1 lost (Conservative)
Win Rate 36% 36% 35% — Low WR, high R:R — winners are 2–3x larger
Avg Return / Trade +5.81% +5.81% +6.14% — Positive expectancy after all fees
Reward / Risk 2.12 2.38 2.90 — Avg win ~3x avg loss
$100K → $1.9B $122.6M $47.8M $1.85M Hypothetical growth of $100K since 2019

Backtest: 3% risk/trade, 3x leverage, isolated margin. Fees: 0.05%/trade + ~0.03%/day funding. Growth uses fixed sizing; Balanced & Conservative use dynamic sizing (score-proportional + drawdown-adaptive). Walk-forward validated. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

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Bear Market Drawdowns
Period BTCBTC Growth Balanced Conservative
2020 COVID Crash1 -54% 0% 0% 0%
2022 Bear Market2 -67% -59% -25% -11%
2025 Bear Market3 -50% -56% -34% -27%
Average -57% -38% -20% -13%
1 Feb 15 – Mar 31, 2020   2 Jan – Dec 2022   3 Jan 2025 – present

Three strategies, one engine. Growth maximizes returns with fixed position sizing. Balanced adds dynamic, drawdown-adaptive sizing for a smoother ride. Conservative tightens entry thresholds for fewer but higher-conviction trades. All three trade across 60+ assets simultaneously, going long in strength and short in weakness. The portfolio approach doesn't just outperform on the upside — it protects capital when markets turn.

Backtest assumptions: 3% portfolio risk per trade, 3x leverage, isolated margin. Fees: 0.05% per trade + est. 0.03%/day funding. Signals exit on counter-signal. Walk-forward validated (trained 2019–2023, tested 2024–2026). Regime-adaptive thresholds. Sunday signals excluded. All performance data is based on Binance Perpetual Futures (USDT-margined) historical price data.

Past performance is not indicative of future results. These are backtested figures, not live. Actual results will differ due to slippage, liquidity, and execution.

Consistency
Monthly returns (Conservative preset)
Winning months consistently dwarf losing months. The bar chart shows magnitude; the heatmap shows every month transparently.
Monthly Returns (last 36 months)
Full History (2019–2026)
JFMAMJ JASOND Yr

Basis: Conservative preset — 3% risk per trade, 3x leverage, dynamic sizing, 0.05% fees + 0.03%/day funding. Regime-adaptive thresholds. Returns are on portfolio equity, not per-trade. All returns include leverage effects.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Diversification
Top-performing assets (Conservative preset)
The engine covers 60+ active assets. Here are the top 10 contributors by net P&L.
Asset Trades Win Rate Avg Return Total Return
AVAX8436.9%+18.4%+1,545%
SOL8944.9%+16.5%+1,473%
RUNE9045.6%+13.5%+1,212%
SAND9433.0%+11.0%+1,033%
XRP14731.3%+6.2%+910%
THETA9542.1%+9.5%+898%
FLOKI5933.9%+13.9%+819%
SHIB9534.7%+8.5%+803%
ZEC11734.2%+5.9%+692%
PEPE3946.2%+17.7%+692%
Transparency
Recent signals
Last 15 closed trades. Wins and losses — nothing hidden, nothing deleted.
Exit Date Asset Side Hold Return*
2026-03-14PENGULONG17d+0.6%
2026-03-14VIRTUALLONG17d+2.1%
2026-03-14PEPESHORT16d+11.6%
2026-03-14DOGELONG10d-3.5%
2026-03-14TRXLONG10d+3.2%
2026-03-14SOMISHORT8d+4.7%
2026-03-14BONKLONG5d+3.0%
2026-03-14PUMPLONG5d+1.3%
2026-03-14VETLONG5d+2.5%
2026-03-14ZECLONG5d-2.6%
2026-03-14ZKLONG5d+0.6%
2026-03-14AAVELONG4d-1.0%
2026-03-14ADALONG4d-0.5%
2026-03-14FILSHORT4d-0.4%
2026-03-14INJLONG4d+3.4%

*Returns shown are per-trade returns (unleveraged price move x direction). Portfolio impact depends on position size (3% default) and leverage (3x default).

Honest Assessment
Strengths and limitations
We believe in full transparency. Here's what the engine does well and where the risks lie.

▲ Strengths

  • Outperforms BTC Buy & Hold cumulatively: Every preset has beaten BTC since 2019 — Conservative 27x, Balanced 66x, Growth 1,000x. The Growth preset has outperformed BTC in 5 of the last 8 calendar years
  • Positive in bear markets: In 2022 (BTC -65%), all three presets were profitable. Conservative +24%, Balanced +43%, Growth +102%. The engine doesn't just survive drawdowns — it profits from them via Shorts
  • Walk-forward validated: scoring model trained on 2019–2023 data, then tested on completely unseen 2024–2026 market conditions. No curve-fitting, no hindsight bias
  • Regime-adaptive: automatically adjusts thresholds and position sizing based on whether BTC is in a bull or bear market, generating positive returns in both environments
  • Multi-timeframe conviction: daily signals require weekly and monthly timeframe alignment before execution. Three independent confirmation layers filter noise
  • Three presets for different risk profiles: Growth maximizes returns, Balanced adds drawdown protection, Conservative tightens entry criteria for fewer but higher-conviction trades
  • Drawdown-adaptive sizing: automatically reduces exposure during losing streaks (5%/10%/20% DD steps), keeping drawdowns manageable and helping traders stay disciplined
  • 60+ assets, zero concentration risk: portfolio trades all major large-cap and mid-cap crypto simultaneously — no single-asset dependency

▼ Limitations

  • ~35% win rate: most trades lose. The edge comes from winners being significantly larger than losers (R:R 2.1–2.9). Requires patience and discipline to stay the course
  • Counter-signal exits only: no trailing stops or early profit-taking. This is by design: cutting winners early destroys the statistical edge, as many initially losing trades reverse into winners
  • Monthly volatility: individual months can see drawdowns up to -14%. The portfolio approach and regime-adaptive sizing limit sustained damage, but short-term swings are part of the system
  • Growth preset drawdowns: up to -59% max drawdown — not suitable for conservative capital. Conservative preset limits this to -28%
  • Leveraged strategy: 3x leverage is the backtested standard. Lower leverage reduces both returns and drawdowns proportionally
  • Crypto-only: the engine is purpose-built for crypto futures markets and their unique volatility profile. It does not apply to stocks, forex, or commodities

Want to learn more?

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Pricing & Features Portfolio Simulator Crypto Asset Coverage

Disclaimer: Veridian Research provides market research and analysis for educational and informational purposes only. Nothing published constitutes financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. All performance figures shown are backtested results using historical data (January 2019 – March 2026) with 3% portfolio risk per trade, 3x leverage, isolated margin, 0.05% trading fees, and estimated 0.03%/day funding costs. Backtested results do not reflect actual trading and may not account for all market conditions, slippage, or liquidity constraints. Trading crypto futures involves substantial risk of loss including the possibility of losing more than your initial investment. Past performance, whether backtested or live, is not indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your own trading decisions. Veridian Research is not a registered investment adviser, broker-dealer, or financial planner. Full Terms & Risk Disclosure